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Factfulness: Ten Reasons We're Wrong About the World--and Why Thi...
by , Ola Rosling

Language

English

Pages

341

Publication Date

April 03, 2018

Product Description
Customer Reviews
<p>INSTANT <i>NEW YORK TIMES</i> BESTSELLER</p><p><b>鈥淥ne of the most important books I鈥檝e ever read鈥攁n indispensable guide to thinking clearly about the world.鈥?鈥?Bill Gates</b><br /><b></b><br /><b>鈥淗ans Rosling tells the story of 鈥榯he secret silent miracle of human progress鈥?as only he can. But <i>Factfulness</i> does much more than that. It also explains why progress is so often secret and silent and teaches readers how to see it clearly.鈥?<i>鈥?lt;/i>Melinda Gates</b><br /><b></b><br /><b></b><b>"<i>Factfulness</i> by Hans Rosling, an outstanding international public health expert, is a hopeful book about the potential for human progress when we work off facts rather than our inherent biases." - Former U.S. President Barack Obama</b><b><i></i></b><br /><b><i></i></b><br /><b><i>Factfulnes</i>s: The stress-reducing habit of only carrying opinions for which you have strong supporting facts. </b></p><p>When asked simple questions about global trends鈥?lt;i>what percentage of the world鈥檚 population live in poverty; why the world鈥檚 population is increasing; how many girls finish school</i>鈥攚e systematically get the answers wrong. So wrong that a chimpanzee choosing answers at random will consistently outguess teachers, journalists, Nobel laureates, and investment bankers.</p><p>In <i>Factfulness</i>, Professor of International Health and global TED phenomenon Hans Rosling, together with his two long-time collaborators, Anna and Ola, offers <b>a radical new explanation of why this happens</b>. They reveal <b>the ten instincts that distort our perspective</b>鈥攆rom our tendency to divide the world into two camps (usually some version of <i>us</i> and <i>them</i>) to the way we consume media (where fear rules) to how we perceive progress (believing that most things are getting worse). </p><p>Our problem is that we don鈥檛 know what we don鈥檛 know, and even our guesses are informed by unconscious and predictable biases.</p><p><b>It turns out that the world, for all its imperfections, is in a much better state than we might think.</b> That doesn鈥檛 mean there aren鈥檛 real concerns. But when we worry about everything all the time instead of embracing a worldview based on facts, we can lose our ability to focus on the things that threaten us most. </p><p>Inspiring and revelatory, filled with lively anecdotes and moving stories, <b><i>Factfulness </i>is an urgent and essential book that will change the way you see the world and empower you to respond to the crises and opportunities of the future. </b></p><p>---</p><p>鈥淭his book is my last battle in my life-long mission to fight devastating ignorance鈥reviously I armed myself with huge data sets, eye-opening software, an energetic learning style and a Swedish bayonet for sword-swallowing. It wasn鈥檛 enough. But I hope this book will be.鈥?Hans Rosling, February 2017.</p>
Chancing It: The Laws of Chance and How They Can Work for You
by Robert Matthews

Language

English

Pages

304

Publication Date

September 19, 2017

Product Description
Customer Reviews
<b>Make your own luck by understanding probability</b><br /><br />Over the years, some very smart people have thought they understood the rules of chance?only to fail dismally. Whether you call it probability, risk, or uncertainty, the workings of chance often defy common sense. Fortunately, advances in math and science have revealed the laws of chance, and understanding those laws can help in your everyday life.<br /><br />In <i>Chancing It</i>, award-winning scientist and writer Robert Matthews shows how to understand the laws of probability and use them to your advantage. He gives you access to some of the most potent intellectual tools ever developed and explains how to use them to guide your judgments and decisions. By the end of the book, you will know:<br /><br /><li>How to understand and even predict coincidences</li><br /><li>When an insurance policy is worth having</li><br /><li>Why 鈥渆xpert鈥?predictions are often misleading</li><br /><li>How to tell when a scientific claim is a breakthrough or baloney</li><br /><li>When it makes sense to place a bet on anything from sports to stock markets</li><br /><br />A groundbreaking introduction to the power of probability, <i>Chancing It</i> will sharpen your decision-making and maximize your luck.
The Systems Thinker - Analytical Skills: Level Up Your Decision M...
by Albert Rutherford

Language

English

Pages

192

Publication Date

July 24, 2019

Product Description
Customer Reviews
<h2>Enhance your <b>logic, reason, judgment, and wisdom.</b> Increase your ability to <b>create concise and reasoned arguments</b> using data and evidence, to get a genuine conclusion.</h2><br /><br /><i>The Systems Thinker 鈥?Analytical Skills</i> aims to raise the level of your mental performance by focusing on the fundamentals of how to use your mind effectively. This book will show you how to:<br />鈥ncrease your ability to analyze problems and to comprehend what you read, hear, experience in a logical manner. <br />鈥?lt;b>Examine the logical structure of good and bad reasoning. </b><br />鈥ook at what type of evidence are decisions commonly based on.<br />鈥?lt;b>Detect common fallacies and rhetorical and psychological factors that can influence your thinking. </b><br /><br />The book presents the methods that good problem solvers use in understanding complex ideas. It provides practice in applying these methods to a variety of comprehension, analytical, and reasoning questions. It also includes a number of logical thinking problems to hone your logical thinking skills.<br /><br /><h2>Use these intellectual skills to analyze anything you might think about - questions, problems, disciplines.</h2><br />鈥he most widely used forms of analysis.<br />鈥?lt;b>Guidance and practice to monitor your thoughts with the help of intellectual tools.</b><br />鈥earn to question purposes, problems, information, and concepts.<br />鈥?lt;b>Interdisciplinary analytical tools to understand and assess your own reasoning, be it about a highly technical question or your everyday life. </b><br /><br /><i> The Systems Thinker 鈥?Analytical Skills </i> helps you to find the most fundamental logic of any discipline, problem, or thesis. Transfer your knowledge between and among subjects and fields of observation. <br /><br />鈥earn four types of profound analysis.<br />鈥?lt;b>Learn to read and create statistical charts.</b><br />鈥earn and correct the most frequent errors in reasoning.<br />鈥?lt;b>Learn to complement your analytical thinking tools with synthetic, systemic, critical, and creative thinking tools.</b><br /><br />Good analytical thinking skills are deeply <u>necessary if you are working in business, education, law, politics, and economics</u>. Understanding the underlying structure of a problem can help you come up with the best solution. <br /><br />Adopt analytical thinking skills to make better decisions, assess situations more accurately, and persuade other people with more success to consider your point of view. This book serves as a springboard toward analytic proficiency.<br />
Storytelling with Data: A Data Visualization Guide for Business P...
by Cole Nussbaumer Knaflic

Language

English

Pages

252

Publication Date

October 07, 2015

Product Description
Customer Reviews
<b>Don't simply show your data鈥攖ell a story with it!</b> <p><i>Storytelling with Data</i> teaches you the fundamentals of data visualization and how to communicate effectively with data. You'll discover the power of storytelling and the way to make data a pivotal point in your story. The lessons in this illuminative text are grounded in theory, but made accessible through numerous real-world examples鈥攔eady for immediate application to your next graph or presentation.</p> <p>Storytelling is not an inherent skill, especially when it comes to data visualization, and the tools at our disposal don't make it any easier. This book demonstrates how to go beyond conventional tools to reach the root of your data, and how to use your data to create an engaging, informative, compelling story. Specifically, you'll learn how to:</p> <ul> <li>Understand the importance of context and audience</li> <li>Determine the appropriate type of graph for your situation</li> <li>Recognize and eliminate the clutter clouding your information</li> <li>Direct your audience's attention to the most important parts of your data</li> <li>Think like a designer and utilize concepts of design in data visualization</li> <li>Leverage the power of storytelling to help your message resonate with your audience</li> </ul> <p>Together, the lessons in this book will help you turn your data into high impact visual stories that stick with your audience. Rid your world of ineffective graphs, one exploding 3D pie chart at a time. There is a story in your data鈥?lt;i>Storytelling with Data</i> will give you the skills and power to tell it!</p>
Infinite Powers: How Calculus Reveals the Secrets of the Universe
by Steven Strogatz

Language

English

Pages

389

Publication Date

April 02, 2019

Product Description
Customer Reviews
<b><i>NEW YORK TIMES</i> BESTSELLER</b><br /><b>鈥淢arvelous . . . an array of witty and astonishing stories . . . to illuminate how calculus has helped bring into being our contemporary world.鈥濃€?lt;i>The Washington Post</i></b><br /><br /><b>From preeminent math personality and author of <i>The Joy of x,</i> a brilliant and endlessly appealing explanation of calculus 鈥?how it works and why it makes our lives immeasurably better.聽</b><br /> 聽<br /> Without calculus, we wouldn鈥檛 have cell phones, TV, GPS, or ultrasound.聽We wouldn鈥檛 have unraveled DNA or discovered Neptune or figured out how to put 5,000 songs in your pocket.聽<br /> 聽<br /> Though many of us were scared away from this essential, engrossing subject in high school and college, Steven Strogatz鈥檚 brilliantly creative, down鈥憈o鈥慹arth history shows that calculus is not about complexity; it鈥檚 about simplicity.聽It harnesses an unreal number鈥攊nfinity鈥攖o tackle real鈥憌orld problems, breaking them down into easier ones and then reassembling the answers into solutions that feel miraculous.聽<br /> 聽<br /><i>Infinite Powers</i> recounts how calculus tantalized and thrilled its inventors, starting with its first glimmers in ancient Greece and bringing us right up to the discovery of gravitational waves (a phenomenon predicted by calculus). Strogatz reveals how this form of math rose to the challenges of each age: how to determine the area of a circle with only sand and a stick; how to explain why Mars goes 鈥渂ackwards鈥?sometimes; how to make electricity with magnets; how to ensure your rocket doesn鈥檛 miss the moon; how to turn the tide in the fight against AIDS.聽<br /> 聽<br /> As Strogatz proves, calculus is truly the language of the universe. By unveiling the principles of that language, <i>Infinite Powers</i> makes us marvel at the world anew.聽
The Art of Statistics: How to Learn from Data
by David Spiegelhalter

Language

English

Pages

415

Publication Date

September 03, 2019

Product Description
Customer Reviews
<b>The definitive guide to statistical thinking</b><br />Statistics are everywhere, as integral to science as they are to business, and in the popular media hundreds of times a day. In this age of big data, a basic grasp of statistical literacy is more important than ever if we want to separate the fact from the fiction, the ostentatious embellishments from the raw evidence -- and even more so if we hope to participate in the future, rather than being simple bystanders.<br />In <i>The Art of Statistics</i>, world-renowned statistician David Spiegelhalter shows readers how to derive knowledge from raw data by focusing on the concepts and connections behind the math. Drawing on real world examples to introduce complex issues, he shows us how statistics can help us determine the luckiest passenger on the Titanic, whether a notorious serial killer could have been caught earlier, and if screening for ovarian cancer is beneficial. <i>The Art of Statistics</i> not only shows us how mathematicians have used statistical science to solve these problems -- it teaches us how we too can think like statisticians. We learn how to clarify our questions, assumptions, and expectations when approaching a problem, and -- perhaps even more importantly -- we learn how to responsibly interpret the answers we receive.<br />Combining the incomparable insight of an expert with the playful enthusiasm of an aficionado, <i>The Art of Statistics</i> is the definitive guide to stats that every modern person needs.
A Mind For Numbers: How to Excel at Math and Science (Even If You...
by Barbara Oakley

Language

English

Pages

332

Publication Date

July 31, 2014

Product Description
Customer Reviews
<b>The companion book to COURSERA廬's wildly popular massive open online course "Learning How to Learn"</b><br /><br />Whether you are a student struggling to fulfill a math or science requirement, or you are embarking on a career change that requires a new skill set, <i>A Mind for Numbers</i> offers the tools you need to get a better grasp of that intimidating material. Engineering professor Barbara Oakley knows firsthand how it feels to struggle with math. She flunked her way through high school math and science courses, before enlisting in the army immediately after graduation. When she saw how her lack of mathematical and technical savvy severely limited her options鈥攂oth to rise in the military and to explore other careers鈥攕he returned to school with a newfound determination to re-tool her brain to master the very subjects that had given her so much trouble throughout her entire life.<br /> 聽<br /> In <i>A Mind for Numbers</i>, Dr. Oakley lets us in on the secrets to learning effectively鈥攕ecrets that even dedicated and successful students wish they鈥檇 known earlier. Contrary to popular belief, math requires creative, as well as analytical, thinking. Most people think that there鈥檚 only one way to do a problem, when in actuality, there are often a number of different solutions鈥攜ou just need the creativity to see them. For example, there are more than three hundred different known proofs of the Pythagorean Theorem. In short, studying a problem in a laser-focused way until you reach a solution is not an effective way to learn. Rather, it involves taking the time to step away from a problem and allow the more relaxed and creative part of the brain to take over. The learning strategies in this book apply not only to math and science, but to any subject in which we struggle. We all have what it takes to excel in areas that don't seem to come naturally to us at first, and learning them does not have to be as painful as we might think!
Thinking in Systems: A Primer
by Donella H. Meadows

Language

English

Pages

233

Publication Date

December 03, 2008

Product Description
Customer Reviews
<p>In the years following her role as the lead author of the international bestseller, <em>Limits to Growth</em>鈥攖he first book to show the consequences of unchecked growth on a finite planet鈥?Donella Meadows remained a pioneer of environmental and social analysis until her untimely death in 2001.</p><br /><br /><p><em>Thinking in Systems</em>, is a concise and crucial book offering insight for problem solving on scales ranging from the personal to the global. Edited by the Sustainability Institute鈥檚 Diana Wright, this essential primer brings systems thinking out of the realm of computers and equations and into the tangible world, showing readers how to develop the systems-thinking skills that thought leaders across the globe consider critical for 21st-century life.</p><br /><br /><p>Some of the biggest problems facing the world鈥攚ar, hunger, poverty, and environmental degradation鈥攁re essentially system failures. They cannot be solved by fixing one piece in isolation from the others, because even seemingly minor details have enormous power to undermine the best efforts of too-narrow thinking.</p><br /><br /><p>While readers will learn the conceptual tools and methods of systems thinking, the heart of the book is grander than methodology. Donella Meadows was known as much for nurturing positive outcomes as she was for delving into the science behind global dilemmas. She reminds readers to pay attention to what is important, not just what is quantifiable, to stay humble, and to stay a learner.</p><br /><br /><p>In a world growing ever more complicated, crowded, and interdependent, <em>Thinking in Systems</em> helps readers avoid confusion and helplessness, the first step toward finding proactive and effective solutions.</p>
The Book of Why: The New Science of Cause and Effect
by , Dana Mackenzie

Language

English

Pages

423

Publication Date

May 15, 2018

Product Description
Customer Reviews
<b>A Turing Award-winning computer scientist and statistician shows how understanding causality has revolutionized science and will revolutionize artificial intelligence</b><b><br /></b>"Correlation is not causation." This mantra, chanted by scientists for more than a century, has led to a virtual prohibition on causal talk. Today, that taboo is dead. The causal revolution, instigated by Judea Pearl and his colleagues, has cut through a century of confusion and established causality--the study of cause and effect--on a firm scientific basis. His work explains how we can know easy things, like whether it was rain or a sprinkler that made a sidewalk wet; and how to answer hard questions, like whether a drug cured an illness. Pearl's work enables us to know not just whether one thing causes another: it lets us explore the world that is and the worlds that could have been. It shows us the essence of human thought and key to artificial intelligence. Anyone who wants to understand either needs <i>The Book of Why</i>.<br /><br /><br />
Naked Statistics: Stripping the Dread from the Data
by Charles Wheelan

Language

English

Pages

300

Publication Date

January 07, 2013

Product Description
Customer Reviews
<p><strong>A <em>New York Times</em> bestseller<br /><br /><br /><br />"Brilliant, funny鈥he best math teacher you never had." 鈥?lt;em>San Francisco Chronicle</em></strong></p><br /><p>Once considered tedious, the field of statistics is rapidly evolving into a discipline Hal Varian, chief economist at Google, has actually called "sexy." From batting averages and political polls to game shows and medical research, the real-world application of statistics continues to grow by leaps and bounds. How can we catch schools that cheat on standardized tests? How does Netflix know which movies you鈥檒l like? What is causing the rising incidence of autism? As best-selling author Charles Wheelan shows us in <em>Naked Statistics</em>, the right data and a few well-chosen statistical tools can help us answer these questions and more.</p><br /><p>For those who slept through Stats 101, this book is a lifesaver. Wheelan strips away the arcane and technical details and focuses on the underlying intuition that drives statistical analysis. He clarifies key concepts such as inference, correlation, and regression analysis, reveals how biased or careless parties can manipulate or misrepresent data, and shows us how brilliant and creative researchers are exploiting the valuable data from natural experiments to tackle thorny questions.</p><br /><p>And in Wheelan鈥檚 trademark style, there鈥檚 not a dull page in sight. You鈥檒l encounter clever Schlitz Beer marketers leveraging basic probability, an International Sausage Festival illuminating the tenets of the central limit theorem, and a head-scratching choice from the famous game show <em>Let鈥檚 Make a Deal</em>鈥攁nd you鈥檒l come away with insights each time. With the wit, accessibility, and sheer fun that turned <em>Naked Economics</em> into a bestseller, Wheelan defies the odds yet again by bringing another essential, formerly unglamorous discipline to life.</p>

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